Millenials Put Hispanic Voters at All-Time High, Impact Expected to be Minimal
The new generation is an overwhelming part of the electorate, especially in the Latino community, according to a newly released analysis of the U.S. Census Bureau data from the Pew Research Center. The findings reveal that nearly half of the eligible voters of the Hispanic electoral are millennials and the Latino electorate is on the rise, although the low turnout projected may ultimately lead to little impact.
A total of 27.3 million Hispanics will be eligible voters in Election Day 2016, and approximately 44 percent of this number -- 11.9 million voters -- is millennials. This makes the Latino millennials the most powerful among other racial or ethnic communities of the same age group.
The numbers aren't so surprising given that the median age of the country's U.S.-born Latinos is 19. Research has revealed that around 3.2 million of the group's youth will have reached eligibility between 2012 and 2016. Annually, over 803,000 U.S.-born Latinos have become adults in recent years.
These numbers highlight how consistently important the youth is to the Latino voting population since 2000. It stands in stark contrast to the white, black and Asian millennial voters, which have considerably declined in number between 2000 and 2016.
While the youth takes up a huge chunk of the electorate, the immigrant vote remains just as consistent at one-quarter of the eligible Hispanic voters since 2000, with the immigrant eligible voters also projected to double to 6.6 million in 2016.
In total, the Hispanic electorate swelled 4 million since 2012 and is now on pace to make up 11.9 percent of the total eligible voters in the country. Despite the rising numbers, the Latino vote isn't expected to make much of a dent in the coming elections.
Voter turnout has been significantly low for Latinos in past elections. Although a sheer number has increased, only 48 percent of the eligible voters cast a vote in 2012, compared to 64.1 percent of whites and 66.6 percent of blacks. The Asian electorate marked a low turnout rate as well at 46.9 percent.
Furthermore, millennials are generally less likely to participate in the elections. Latino millennials are particularly difficult to get voting with only 37.8 percent turning up in 2012. Another reason for the low Latino representation in the elections is the fact that major candidates often focus their campaigns in battleground states where the Latino population is not high.
"The accidents of geography wind up playing against Latino voter registration and turnout," Sylvia Manzano, principal at the consulting firm Latino Decisions in Seattle, pointed out in a report from Bloomberg.
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