Although meteorologists don't expect the strong force that Hurricane Vance is delivering to last too much longer, the storm system was still measured as a category two hurricane in the Eastern Pacific as of Monday afternoon.

According to the most recent public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) on Monday Nov. 3 at 1:00 p.m. PST, weather experts report that "Vance is not weakening yet." However, residents in the areas that are and will be affected by Vance, in southwestern coastal Mexico, needn't be too concerned about the damage that the storm could deliver, as authorities have not posted any hurricane or tropical storm warnings or watches.

As of early Monday afternoon Hurricane Vance was located near latitude 16.4 north and longitude 110.8 west. More specifically, the storm is reported to be approximately 465 miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico and about 550 miles south-southwest of Mazatlan, Mexico. Vance is moving in a northerly direction at 12 miles per hour. It's expected that a turn toward the north-northeast will occur over the next 24-48 hours as the hurricane heads toward the southern Baja Peninsula.

Maximum sustained winds are being recorded near 110 miles per hour with higher gusts occurring. Hurricane-force winds are extending out only 15 miles from the storm's center, though tropical storm-force winds are reaching out upwards of 125 miles.

The Weather Channel (TWC) reports that given Vance's small size (with the strongest winds occurring only within close proximity to the eye of the storm) and with wind shear over the system increasing, rapid weakening can be expected to take place as early as Tuesday, well before it hits the Mexican coastline.

"Vance may spin down so quickly that it may never make landfall as a tropical cyclone, rather as a remnant low, late Wednesday or early Thursday generally north of Puerto Vallarta," TWC meteorologists said.

However, to remain vigilant, residents and visitors along the southwest Mexican coast and the southern Baja Peninsula, including Cabo San Lucas, Puerto Vallarta and Mazatlan, are urged to continue monitoring the progress of this storm throughout the remainder of this week.

Although Vance is expected to weaken significantly in the near future, the storm will still create hazards on land in the areas affected by the system.

The first major hazard is that Vance itself and moisture spreading to the north ahead of the storm is expected to produce rainfall totaling between four and eight inches with isolated amounts of up to a foot through Wednesday. This rain is anticipated to fall largely over the Mexican states of Sinaloa, Nayarit and Durango. In these areas the rain may produce life-threatening flash floods as well as mudslides, especially in mountainous terrain.

Due to the initially powerful winds associated with Hurricane Vance, ocean swells generated by the storm are likely to begin affecting parts of the coastline of southwest Mexico and Baja California Sur as early as Monday night and on Tuesday. These swells will cause dangerous conditions for swimmers including high and possibly life-threatening surf and rip currents.

Stay tuned for further updates on Hurricane Vance as the storm continues to progress while it tracks toward land throughout the rest of the week.

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