2016 Presidential Election – Latinos Flood Early Voting Sites, But Are They Polling for Donald Trump?
Cardenas Market in east Las Vegas is like other Hispanic supermarkets throughout the country, if only because it evokes nostalgia Latinos have for their culture.
The bakery is stocked with baguette-like bolillos and the fluorescent cinnamon shells simply known as conchas. Their carniceria showcases tamales and seasoned carne asada ready for grilling. The adjacent warming station offers ready-to-eat slabs of chicharron, the highly-addicting, deep-fried pork rinds dense enough to chip a tooth.
Hovering above, piñatas loosely based on popular cartoon characters dangle from the ceiling. Even the neighborhood grocer's décor - murals of pueblos painted aside traditional balconies - carries a sort of patriotism American stores don't display.
It is a reminder of what life is like south of the U.S.-Mexico border. It's a place undocumented immigrants and naturalized citizens can express nationalism - and jingoism, to an extent - for their native country without compromising American values.
Year after year, Latinos are seen as the presidential election season's wild card. An estimated 27 million eligible to vote this year, yet many are lukewarm to the entire voting process, which makes it hard to gauge how Latinos will cast ballots and which way they lean.
This week, Cardenas Market came to symbolize the power of the Hispanic vote. Store hours were extended to 10 p.m. on Friday night to accommodate the hundreds of people waiting in line, two hours after polling was scheduled to end.
A crowd of 50 people waiting outside Cardenas Market. Cheering up the last people coming out from voting. Latino vote woke up #earlyvote pic.twitter.com/FuEQvB1rET
— Jose Macias (Goloso) (@josemacias8) November 5, 2016
This is insane line at Cardenas Market on the last night of Early Voting. #Election2016 #votemosjuntos pic.twitter.com/Z6HNLUcfAC — Jose Macias (Goloso) (@josemacias8) November 5, 2016
Early vote has been extended at Cardenas Market (Bonanza and Lamb) until 10pm and @CatherineForNV is on her way! Come join us! pic.twitter.com/fhm2S8JXdz
— Mairéad Lynn (@maireadlynn) November 5, 2016
If you're still in line at #CardenasMarket, #StayInLine! A few hours are a small sacrifice for the next four years! #ImWithHer https://t.co/ycBRphEqNc — tiff's tweets (@tiffanyclay) November 5, 2016
Twitter users documented how lines snaked through the store and out the front door. Some used the #ImWithHer hashtag in support of Hillary Clinton while others highlighted Democratic candidates in local senate and assembly member races.
None openly supported Donald Trump.
A Late Push Into Clinton Territory
In less than a week, Trump's improbable presidential run will end, one way or another.
The real estate magnate spent last weekend hitting predominately blue states. FBI Director James Comey's flummoxing decision to investigate emails belonging to a Clinton aide not only broke with the agency's unwritten tradition of abstaining from commenting on cases before an election, it gave Trump an opening with wary independents and liberals.
Trump stumped in New Mexico and Nevada last Sunday. He campaigned in Michigan on Monday. After attending a Tuesday morning rally in Valley Forge, Penn. alongside running mate Mike Pence, Trump traveled to Eau Claire, Wisc. where he reached out to early-ballot voters that may suffer from buyer's remorse.
"A lot of stuff has come out since your vote," Trump said. "If you live here, or Michigan, Pennsylvania, or Minnesota, you change your vote to Donald Trump." Each state visited over the last three days voted Democrat in 2008 and 2012.
Faced with a narrow path to 270 electoral votes, Trump is capitalizing on the Clinton-made silver lining by splurging $25 million on television ads in battleground and swing states. Some will air in Colorado, Nevada, and New Mexico; states with ardent Latino voters. The southwest territories housed three million Latinos in 2014, when the median age for U.S.-born Hispanics was 22 years old.
A record 11.2 million Latinos voted in 2012, but the country has seen the number of eligible voters since, to the point that 12 percent of all eligible voters this election cycle come from a Hispanic background.
Trump's next ad targeting this, the country's fastest-growing minority population, will be the first. The Republican National Committee recently released a Spanish-language television ad on Wednesday, only it omits mentioning a specific candidate, including the GOP presidential nominee.
Trump's Latino Supporters Reach Out
On Oct. 19, Trump made his final televised appeal to voters at Las Vegas' Thomas and Mack Center, just a short Uber ride from Cardenas.
The third presidential debate briefly touched on immigration, which Fox News moderator Chris Wallace noted separates Clinton and Trump more than anything.
Trump proposed fortifying the U.S.-Mexico border wall to keep drug lords out. Clinton didn't offered a concrete strategy other than to say her immigration reform plan "of course includes border security."
The Republican candidate said he will increase the number of Immigration and Customs Enforcement officials along the border, though he previously said ICE officials would be part of a deportation task force. The Democratic candidate is adamant about keeping families together and characterized Trump's method as "not keeping with who we are as a nation."
To an undefined portion of Latino voters, this falls in line with personal values. Not every Latino supports amnesty and open borders, just like women are free to hold pro-life beliefs.
This is the subset Trump hopes to reach in the last days of his campaign.
"One of the reasons you really want to start with border security is because you have to stop the flow of illegal immigration for multiple reasons," Helen Aguirre Ferré, Director of Hispanic Communication for the Republican National Committee, told Latin Post shortly after the debate. "He believes we need to make legal immigration easier and illegal immigration harder."
Ferré said Clinton has taken Latinos for granted and attributed this to Clinton's slide in national polls over the last month. She, like many voters, rebuke the former New York senator's scandals, and her perceived ties to Wall Street.
"Democrats think that Latinos are going to vote for them because they're Democrats and they do certain types of outreach. But the fact of the matter is that when you look at the policies, it really hasn't been a great benefit to the Latino community," Ferré said.
An NBC News/ Wall Street Journal poll taken before the debate and after Trump defended his remarks about Miss Universe Alicia Machado - reportedly calling her "Miss Housekeeping" and "Miss Piggy" - found Clinton with a 50-point lead over Trump among Latino voters, 67-17. On Thursday, political research firm Latino Decisions released their projection for the Latino electorate: 79 percent for Clinton, 18 percent for Trump.
While not for everyone, National Hispanic Advisory Council for Trump member Rick Figueroa said Trump's "very unorthodox" and "not politically correct" demeanor will galvanize disenfranchised Latinos on Election Day.
"You look not at one issue, but an aggregate of issues to look at as a whole," Figueroa said. "I think they're scared. I think they're concerned. But I think they've been scared and concerned because the issue has been a hotbed and it just, basically, every four years they think '(Democrats) are going to come looking for our vote again."
"Mr. Trump in his own way, in his very unique way, brought that point to fruition," Figueroa added.
A Historic Turnout Expected
Over 30 million votes have already been cast across 38 early-voting states. Three of them - Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina - reported large numbers of Latinos returning early ballots.
CNN found the Hispanic turnout in the Sunshine State is already up 129 percent from 2008, when President Obama won 57 percent of support. It's up 144 percent from 2012 in Georgia, and 75 percent from the same period in North Carolina.
Friday at 9 p.m. was the last chance Nevadans could do as much before Tuesday's election. The local ABC affiliate reports more than 57,000 voted in Clark County alone, breaking the state's single-day record. Over 400,000 voted before the deadline.
If the tally comes down to a few percentage points, it's possible the deciding votes were cast at Cardenas Market, the Hispanic grocery store chain that brought thousands of American Latinos together.
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* This is a contributed article and this content does not necessarily represent the views of latinpost.com