Weekend Top Movies Sales Box Office Preview: 'Think Like a Man Too' Set to Dominate Box Office, 'Jersey Boys' Could Flop
"Think Like a Man too" is slated to win the box office beating out holdovers "22 Jump Street" and "How to Train Your Dragon 2" and newcomer "Jersey Boys."
Tim Story's film, starring Kevin Hart, is on track to open with more than $30 million. The film, which was budgeted at $24 million, has been tracking well especially after the original 2012 film opened with $36 million and ended up making $91 million. Sony also has high hopes for the Vegas-set comedy as it is opening in 2,200 theaters. The film has scored negative reviews and currently has a 25 percent aggregate score on Rotten Tomatoes. However, for these types of comedies, reviews rarely affect the total box office. If "Think Like a Man Too" does win the box office like many suspect, it will be the ninth weekend in a row with a new release at the top of the box office chart with no summer release repeating at No. 1.
Holdovers "22 Jump Street" and "How to Train Your Dragon 2" are also likely to end the weekend bringing in another $30 million and possibly taking the number one spot. "22 Jump Street" opened at number one last weekend and has already managed to bring in $77 million. With another $30 million, the film is likely to bring its total gross to $110 million.
Meanwhile, "How to Train Your Dragon 2" could also bring in $30 million and perhaps climb to the top spot. The film has already made $65 million and has very good word of mouth as well as strong reviews. As a result expect a $95 million total for the animated film by the end of the weekend.
In 2,905 theaters, Warner Bros. will attempt to attract older adults with "Jersey Boys." However the movie is currently on track to open with a modest $12 million to 14 million. The musical, based on the music by the Four Seasons, has scored mixed reviews, and aside from Clint Eastwood as the director and Christopher Walken in the case, the film does not have any A-list actors that musicals tend to have. The musical has been a tricky sell in the past few years, especially in the summer. While "Hairspray" and "Mamma Mia" both opened in the $25 million range, 2012's "Rock of all Ages" flopped with an intake of just $14 million. "Jersey Boys" may have to settle in the middle of these musicals but could surprise, given the lack of movies in the marketplace for adults. It also gives an option to audiences who are not interested in tentpole action films or comedies.
The Angelina Jolie starrer "Maleficent" is likely to add another $12 million to its gross. That could put the movie at $180 million and much closer to the $200 million mark.
"The Fault in Our Stars" is likely to continue fading with another $8 million to $12 million. However given the drama's performance during the weekdays, it will likely cross the $100 million by the end of the weekend.
The art house favorite "The Rover" is also slated to open nationwide. The A24 opened last weekend in five theaters and made an unimpressive $69,302. Nevertheless, A24 has been very aggressive with the marketing, and it will become the second film the company opens nationwide after one weekend. Previously, A24 opened "Spring Breakers" in 1,104 theaters with an impressive $263,002 in just three theaters. The result was an outstanding $4.8 million in its wide opening. "The Rover" is unlikely to repeat the "Spring Breakers," especially since post-apocalyptic films have never been box office draws. Back in 2008, "The Road" flopped at the box office and made $8 million. "The Rover," however, could be helped by the good reviews and if Robert Pattinson fans turn out.
In art house cinemas, Sony Pictures Classics will open Paul Haggis' "Third Person." The hyperlink stars Liam Neeson, Olivia Wilde, Mila Kunis and James Franco and has scored terrible reviews. Sony will open it in five theaters and later plans to expand it depending on its opening weekend.
Meanwhile, IFC films will release the critically acclaimed Roman Polanski film "Venus in Fur" in two theaters. The picture, based on the Tony award-winning play, opened at the Cannes Film Festival last year and won the Cesar award for Best Director. IFC Films will also open the picture on Demand.
Cohen Media Group will release "Le Chef," while Cinema Guild will release the four-hour epic "Norte, The End of History."
Surprisingly enough, Focus Features will add 84 theaters to "The Signal." The movie, which will now play at 204 theaters, opened to a dismal $155,642 in 120 theaters. The additional theaters are unlikely to help the film's gross, especially with bad reviews and no buzz.
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