New Hampshire U.S. Senate Election Polls: Democratic Incumbent Jeanne Shaheen Increases Slim Lead Against Republican Scott Brown
New Hampshire's U.S. Senate election has been considered narrow based on latest survey results, but Democrat incumbent Jeanne Shaheen has consistently secured a slim lead.
American Research Group:
Based on the American Research Group's survey, Shaheen's lead was one percentage point ahead of Republican challenger and former Massachusetts senator Scott Brown. The ARG survey, based on 600 interviews among New Hampshire residents, saw Shaheen with 49 percent to Brown's 48 percent. Three percent of respondents were undecided.
The survey results were also slim between two separate age groups. The first group comprising of ages 18-44 and a second group of 45-years-old and older also gave Shaheen 49 percent and 48 percent for Brown.
While Republican and Democratic respondents were more likely to support the candidate representing their political party affiliation, the undeclared likely voters gave Shaheen a double-digit edge against Brown. Undeclared voters supported Shaheen with 54 percent while 43 percent favored Brown.
Opinion was also split by gender lines. Male voters supported Brown with 52 percent, but 45 percent of men favored Shaheen. Female voters with 53 percent favored the Democratic incumbent, while 44 percent supported Brown.
The ARG survey was conducted between Oct. 19 and Oct. 22:
New York Times, CBS News and YouGov:
Shaheen's lead increased in polling from CBS News, The New York Times and YouGov. The three organizations released its survey results and disclosed Shaheen with 46 percent of the vote, while Brown garnered 41 percent.
Voting statistics among core millennial respondents, between the ages of 18 and 29, was not disclosed. Two age groups, ages 30-44 and 45-64, gave Shaheen a two-percentage point advantage. Respondents over the age of 65 gave Brown a convincing lead with 48 percent to 41 percent for Shaheen.
Independent voters gave Brown the slight lead with 43 percent to Shaheen's 43 percent. Similar to the ARG survey, gender also provided mixed results for the candidates. Shaheen won the female vote with 49 percent to 35 percent for Brown. Meanwhile, male voters preferred Brown with 49 percent to Shaheen's 42 percent.
The CBS News, The New York Times and YouGov survey was conducted between Oct. 16 and Oct. 23 with a sample size of 1,042 likely voters.
Both survey results did not identify how Latinos voted, but 3.2 percent of New Hampshire's population is home to Latinos, which is significantly lower compared to the U.S. average of 17.1 percent.
While early voting has commenced in some states, New Hampshire is one of seven states that does not have early voting.
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