California Primary Polls: Democratic Presidential Primary Too Close to Call as Six States Host Primary Elections
The California presidential primary is on Tuesday, home to the largest number of pledged delegates at stake for either Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton.
The Bern Won't End on Tuesday in California
Home to approximately 15 million Latinos, California has 475 pledged delegates that will be split by proportion, therefore one candidate will not scoop up all of the state's delegates. Both Clinton and Sanders are expected to do well in the vote count, which further backs the Vermont senator's statements that the Democratic National Convention will be a contested convention since neither will received the necessary 2,382 delegates needed to win.
Based on RealClearPolitics projections, Clinton leads the pledged delegate count with 1,809 delegates to Sanders' 1,520 delegates. With superdelegates, Clinton's odds to clinch the party's nomination is theoretically secured on Tuesday. With superdelegates, Clinton has 2,357 delegates to Sanders' 1,556 delegates.
But as Sanders noted, superdelegates do not count until the convention in July.
Based on the latest CBS News and YouGov poll conducted between May 31 and June 3, Clinton leads Sanders but within the margin of error, with 49 percent to 47 percent. An NBC News, Wall Street Journal and Marist University poll conducted between May 29 and May 31 also has Clinton with a 2-percent lead, at 49 percent to 47 percent among likely Democrat voters.
According to National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials (NALEO) Educational Fund, California's Latinos are more likely registered Democrats and represent nearly one-third of the Golden State's Democrats. But a healthy 29 percent of Latinos are not affiliated to either Democrat or Republican Party.
The 5 Other Primary Elections
California is not the only primary on Tuesday. Montana, New Jersey, North Dakota, New Mexico and South Dakota are also hosting primaries. Outside of California, New Jersey offers the next biggest number of pledged delegates with 126, and it's a state where
Clinton is expected to comfortably win. CBS News and YouGov's poll has the former secretary of state leading by 27 percent, specifically 61 percent to 34 percent. Pundits have assumed that a Clinton victory in New Jersey would be enough to announce her as the presumptive Democratic presidential candidate -- when taking into account superdelegates.
Republican Primaries Still Going On
Although Donald Trump may have the necessary number of Republican delegates to secure the party's nomination, there are still GOP primaries taking place on June 7. California, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota are also having primaries.
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For the latest updates, follow Latin Post's Michael Oleaga on Twitter: @EditorMikeO or contact via email: m.oleaga@latinpost.com.
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