Electoral College Vote Map Predictions & Projections for 2016 Elections – Hillary Clinton Leading, but Does Donald Trump Has a Plausible Chance: Report
Narrow as it may be, Donald Trump has a plausible path to securing the 270 electoral votes needed to ascend to the White House, according to a recent Washington Post analysis.
Despite the overwhelming probability of the so-called "Blue Wall" holding steady, a phenomonon which has seen Democrats win a stretch of 18 states plus the District of Columbia totaling 242 electoral votes for each of the last six presidential elections, Trump's viability in a electoral vote rich state like Pennsylvania may still give him a chance.
Over the era of the "Blue Wall," the GOP nominee has also consistently won 13 particular states, good for 102 electoral votes each cycle. According to The Post, if that pattern holds true to form and Trump is actually able to snare Pennsylvania the electoral vote race could greatly tighten.
Trump Needs Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio
From there, The Post conjures oup a scenario where Trump also manages to add Florida and Ohio to his column of aforementioned victories, that would give him a total of 273 electoral votes to Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton's 265, good enough to secure the election.
It would be an uphill climb for Trump, as Florida and Ohio both went for President Obama in the last two presidential cycles and no republican has carried Pennsylvania since President George H.W. Bush 28 years ago.
A recent RealClearPolitics poll shows Clinton leading by an average of 1.8 points in those three critical states.
Meanwhile, a Benchmark Politics electoral vote poll finds Clinton topping Trump 349 votes to 189. In all, Clinton leads in such states as Washington, Oregon, California, Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, Vermont, New York , Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida and Maine.
An even more recent Freedom Lighthouse electoral vote survey has Clinton besting Trump 227 to 180, with 131 votes still considered tossups. Among the states safely considered in the former first lady's column are Californiia, Colorado, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Virginia and Wisconsin.
Numbers may not Matter
In the end, all those numbers could prove moot, as the New York Daily News reported late Wednesday that Trump's campaign has descended into such turmoil party leaders were considering removing him from the ticket.
After a period where Trump publicly feuded with the parents of a Muslim-American fallen soldier and remained somewhat coy about his relationship with Vladimir Putin, the final straw for many top republicans seemed to come when he refused to endorse House Speaker Paul Ryan's reelection effort.
With rumors swirling that Trump may actually elect to abandon his run, campaign staffers are reportedly at a crossroads, worn down by their futile attempts to keep their boss on message and away from petty squabbles.
Primary surrogates Rudy Giuliani and Newt Gingrich, along with Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus, are reportedly working to convince Trump to employ more discipline and move positively forward with his campaign.
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