2016 Electoral College Vote – Map Projections (UPDATED): Hillary Clinton's Lead Quickly(?) Slipping, Can Trump Catch Up?
Less than two months away from the 2016 Presidential Elections in November, map projections and predictions based on numerous polls for what the electoral college vote outcome could potentially look like - state by state - are gaining more and more attention.
In this article, Latin Post has compiled four such map projections side-by-side for easy viewability and simple comparison. The electoral projections from the sites 270toWin, Freedom's Lighthouse, Real Clear Politics as well as University of Virginia's Center for Politics are exhibited and they are compared to their previous numbers one month ago.
270toWin - Clinton Clinches with 273 to Trump's 191
In this first map we see the state-by-state projections provided by website 270toWin.com which aggregates the ratings from 9 organizations (Sabato's Crystal Ball, Cook Political Report, Rothenberg-Gonzales Political Report, Associated Press, NBC Political Unit, The Fix (Washington Post), ABC News, NPR, CNN) to come up with a composite forecast for the election.
These numbers were last updated on September 19, 2016 and they virtually present no change since August 20, 2016 when Latin Post last checked upon the progression of this map.
Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com
Freedom's Lighthouse - Clinton Leads with 217 vs. Trump's 180
This state-by-state electoral vote projection provided by website FreedomsLighthouse.net gives Clinton the lead with 217 electoral votes, 37 more than Trump's 180 but does not having Clinton clinching. The tossup vote count equates to 141 coming from swing states Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa, Florida, North Carolina, Virgina and others.
The website mentions that the projections are based on several factors including polls and the voting pattern of the state in previous presidential elections as well as the quantity of polls available. This visual represents the projections as of September 24 and it projects a decrease for Clinton since last month in August 19, 2016 when Latin Post also checked upon the statistics. Back then, Freedom's Lighthouse presented Clinton leading with 273 and Trump trailing with 164. There were 101 tossup votes. Both candidates lost numbers but Clinton the most, shedding a total of 56 electoral votes.
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